Date: Thu, 17 Jul 2025 22:57:38 -0400

The wave seems determined, on a course to the Caribbean. We know .what we have to do. May God bless us all Issbel Rain shower this morning [jpgPGmkkAyrxf.jpg] End of day photo [jpgO_pH887LHg.jpg] __________________________________________________________________

Date: Thu, 17 Jul 2025 17:06:27 -0300

We encountered significant rain in Southampton Parish and then it cleared. We got on our scooters, heading east, right into heavy downpours. The landscape needed the rain but the street flooding made for a very unpleasant experience on the scooter. Winds are light. Not much else to report. Significant sargassum on the south shore but nothing like the islands in the Caribbean or Mexico. __________________________________________________________________

Date: Wed, 16 Jul 2025 22:52:53 -0400

Let's keep an eye towards Africa from where a tropical has emerged with a track towards the Caribbean islands! Be prepared! Be safe! May God bless us all. Isabel Today's rain [jpgUOuHngMS0Q.jpg] End of day photo: [jpgpQHVQkmYEp.jpg] __________________________________________________________________

Date: Wed, 16 Jul 2025 12:54:15 +0000

Passing heavy rain shower

PNG image __________________________________________________________________

Date: Tue, 15 Jul 2025 12:08:30 +0000

Happy Tuesday!

JPEG image __________________________________________________________________

Good morning,

May, June, July. Historically the time for "home grown" storms, aka Gulf of Mexico and the Atlantic east coast with a sprinkling of the western Caribbean thrown in. So far we have had 3 named homegrown storms, all short lived but with tragic effects nonetheless. Tropical storms may not pack the wind punch but sure do pack a flood punch and this seems to be the season of floods. Now we have 93L. If named, he will be Dexter with another expected short life but also potentially tragic down the road flood wise. We will see.� Currently, it's just a low with a broad but pronounced low level spin.

93L, currently swirling off Florida's east coast, is poised to cross the Florida peninsula later today on a slightly north western track. Once it enters the GOMEX, it's a crapshoot at the moment with a definitive track not identified although there are 2 scenarios.

The first is a GOMEX coastline hugger which, while causing�high surf, rip currents, flooding rains and ruining some summer vacations along that northern coastline, its proximity to land should inhibit its ability to strengthen, limiting it's time over the bathwater it's traversing. Maybe reaching TD status or Dexter status before turning north into the coast around Mississippi/Louisiana. This is the prevailing wind flow at the moment.

The second, more ominous track takes 93L on a more southerly route dipping into kore of the middle of the GOMEX. This means more time over the untouched bathwater that is the fuel for these systems. This is not good. Potential for Dexter rises exponentially. What it could evolve into remains to be seen but the longer it hangs, the rising potential for strengthening. This system would have to swing around a subtropical ridge in this case which would potentially bring it in as a strong TS into southern Louisiana and/or the Houston area. The longer it stays over water is the crucial component here. RI, while not expected, is not out of the realm of possibility if it follows this track. Let's hope it just is a coast hugger.

Off to the east, a wave at 35W is raising some interest even with copious amounts of seasonal Saharan Dust to its north. Another wave had exited the African coast while another, about 4-5 days from now, has already raised an eyebrow or two. Season will be heating up as we get deeper into this season so preparation and weather awareness will be the keys.�

Stay safe and prepared.

Dave

Date: Mon, 14 Jul 2025 23:05:03 -0400

No dust today. Blue sky and "blue" sea. [jpgZG3aK_ZX3B.jpg] This is what the tropical waves like.,we have to be ready:.prepare for the worse, hope for the best. May God bless us all. End of day photos

[jpgG8asLkTbKL.jpg] [jpg6mT5tydNzJ.jpg] __________________________________________________________________

Date: Mon, 14 Jul 2025 08:00:57 -0400

We are experiencing the coolest summer in my 33 years in the Virgin Islands. Looking at the forecast thru July 23 we see temperatures of 87 f degrees high and 79:f low. Absolutely unlike the last 2 summers of boiler heat we still have the winter blankets on.

We had a good down pour at dawn this morning. The cistern is full. The summer vegetables are thriving and the passion fruit ,pineapples and Star fruit are prolific.

Our pool temperature was 86f in April and now in July it is 82 f! We will take it .

The turtles have started nesting. We hope for successful hatching. The gulls and Pelicans are fishing like crazy.

We are the lucky ones. __________________________________________________________________

Date: Mon, 14 Jul 2025 06:58:57 -0300

Good Morning from Steamy Bermuda We had a little drizzle last night, enough to wet my laundry but St. Georges could use some rain. My friend is in the queue for a water delivery. The gardens are parched. I had a lovely swim at St. Catherine's Beach. The water is incredibly warm compared to my last swim in April. The water was clear and clean, no sargassum. Cheers from Bermuda Ann Phelan at blueseasconcierge image.png __________________________________________________________________

Date: Sun, 13 Jul 2025 21:20:56 -0400

That was Accuweather's prediction yesterday. However, one season had 30 and we were not touched. So, no need to panic in advance. We panic if one targets us . If we prepare well for it we won't panic, unless perhaps you're all alone. That was my situation with Hurricane LENNY in 1999. I recently published Isabel vs Hurricane LENNY by Isabel Cerni on Amazon on it's 25th anniversary. You can read how I prepared and how I fared. May God bless us all. Isabel More blue than gray today [jpgF_3WitbnAq.jpg] End of day photos: [jpgSu25GxRCiB.jpg] [jpgseU3nx1kiJ.jpg] __________________________________________________________________